The #LUFC Breakfast Debate (Monday 19th October) Stats show Whites were the better side

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Ellandback1
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Breakfast Debate The #LUFC Breakfast Debate (Monday 19th October) Stats show Whites were the better side

Post by Ellandback1 »



Good Morning. It's Monday 19th October, and here are the latest headlines from Elland Road...

Stats show Whites were the better side

Elland Road hosted a typically intense war of the roses clash on Sunday that finished 1-1, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin cancelling out Bryan Mbeumo’s first-half opener. On the surface it was a hard-fought point for both sides. Dig into the numbers, however, and a clearer picture emerges from a Leeds perspective; Daniel Farke’s men controlled large stretches of the game, generated the better chances, and finished the afternoon as the side that could feel more satisfied with the outcome. Leeds recorded 135 passes in the final third to their opponents 111 and completed 21 touches inside the opposition box against 13.

Those figures underline a sustained presence in Manchester United’s half rather than a succession of hopeful long balls. Shots inside the box followed the same pattern, Leeds managed 10 to the red devils 6. The expected goals tally (1.44 to 0.91) confirms that the quality of the chances, not merely the volume, favoured the home side. Crosses completed (4/29 versus 2/10) further illustrate Leeds’ willingness to attack from wide areas, even if the success rate was modest. Long passes were almost identical (64-63), so the difference was not raw directness but the ability to progress the ball into dangerous zones more frequently and with greater variety.

Possession sat at roughly 61% for Leeds in this match, well above this seasons average of around 47%, with a higher volume of accurate passes overall. It translates into a higher xG (1.44 to 0.91) and greater number of box entries (21 touches in the opposition box versus 13). Calvert-Lewin’s equaliser, finished after Tarik Muharemović’s header from a corner, was representative of Leeds’ second-half pressure. Leeds have generally averaged under 50% possession across their seven league games, so the territorial dominance they showed against Carrick's men stood out.

The stats show that a draw was the minimum Leeds deserved. Farke's men were superior in the metrics that matter: final-third entries, box touches, shots from prime positions, and expected goals. Manchester United’s defensive organisation and occasional moments of quality (notably Mbeumo and Tielemans) kept them in the contest, but the underlying data shows Leeds as the more proactive and progressive side for the majority of the afternoon. A point at home against a bitter rival is never the result you want, yet our new found expectations show how far the club have come since winning promotion from the Championship.




Solid as a rock

In a 1-1 draw against Manchester United that was defined by intensity and physicality, Tarik Muharemović delivered one of the most complete defensive performances of Leeds’ season. The left-footed centre-back, who arrived from Sassuolo for around £34 million in the summer, was dominant in the left-sided role of Daniel Farke’s back three and provided the platform for Leeds to play on the front foot. He played the full 90 minutes and was involved in almost every important defensive action.

He won six of his seven total duels, including five out of six in the air, and was never dribbled past. He also made five clearances and committed no fouls. Against a side that looked to Amad Diallo for moments of quality on the right, Muharemović repeatedly shut down the Ivorian, limiting him to scraps and denying him any meaningful involvement in the game. What stood out beyond the defensive numbers was his contribution going the other way.

He registered an assist and created a big chance, most notably with the header that set up Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s equaliser from Anton Stach’s corner. That moment encapsulated his growing influence: solid enough to give Leeds security at the back, yet progressive enough to influence the attack from deep. His 84% pass accuracy further underlined a calm presence in possession, allowing the rest of the side to step higher without exposing the defence.

At 23, Muharemović is already looking like one of the smartest pieces of business Leeds have done. Performances like this, physically dominant, positionally disciplined, and increasingly involved in the final third, suggest he is settling into the Premier League with real authority. Against a direct rival and under the pressure of a derby, he was the standout performer in a Leeds side that controlled large parts of the game.




Keith Hackett criticises Darren England as Leeds denied clear pen

Former Premier League referee Keith Hackett has questioned Darren England’s performance in Leeds United’s 1-1 draw with Manchester United at Elland Road, suggesting the official may have been suffering from “mental exhaustion” during a physical and highly charged derby. Hackett, the ex-PGMOL general manager, focused particularly on a second-half incident involving Harry Maguire and Ethan Ampadu. As Manchester United defended a 63rd-minute corner, Maguire appeared to wrap an arm over Ampadu’s shoulder and neck before pulling the Leeds midfielder to the ground.

England waved away appeals for a penalty, and the decision was upheld by VAR. Speaking to MOT Leeds News, Hackett was unequivocal. “Maguire, let’s face it, is a serial offender at corner kicks and will continue to use his hands and arms illegally until someone determines that a penalty kick should be awarded,” he said. “Maguire has committed a foul challenge and England should have penalised it with a penalty kick. VAR, in an attempt to stay low key, decides not to come in, but he should have done so to allow England the opportunity to have a replay of the incident at the monitor.”

The comments add to a long-running perception among supporters that Manchester United have benefited from favourable refereeing decisions over many years. While England’s no-penalty call stood, Hackett’s view is that the incident should at least have been reviewed on the pitch-side monitor. In a match already marked by intensity and a series of contentious moments, the former official’s assessment has reignited debate over both the specific decision and the broader handling of set-piece confrontations in the Premier League.




Manchester United, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Tarik Muharemović
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Re: The #LUFC Breakfast Debate (Monday 19th October) Stats show Whites were the better side

Post by wilsdenwhite »

As much as we would have loved to do them over, you have to say a draw was the fair result. Neither side did enough to win the game. Half way through the second half I just wanted us to focus on not losing and we did the job. Farke has plenty to ponder ahead of Sunderland. I've been disappointed with Anton Stach so far this season. Something just doesn't seem right with him atm. Whether it is just a struggle within himself for form or something else I don't know.

Reasonably happy with the defence so far but think going with Rodon/Bijol/Muharemovic is the way forward. Not knocking Elvedi as I think he is doing a good job but I'm not seeing the X-factor like we became accustomed to with Bijol on many occasion last year. I think if Bijol is in Justin's shoes yesterday with his ability to read the danger and his awareness, Mbuemo isn't scoring but that's just my take on things at the back.
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Re: The #LUFC Breakfast Debate (Monday 19th October) Stats show Whites were the better side

Post by Ratscoot »

Morning EB et all,

The stats only show one side of the story unfortunately the "true" side of the story was Gary Nevilles commentary on Sky, which game was that snivelling little prick watching, as according to him there was only one team in the game and it wasn't us!! Why as an ex-scum player is he allowed to do co-comms on their games, it was worse than watching ScumTV.

All I can say on Tariq, (nope I can spell his surname) is Struijk who? I was gutted when Pascal left but wow what an upgrade, we'll be very lucky to keep him in the summer with the teams already circling 😬

Hackett can say what he likes now but he was never quick to give anything against the Scum either.
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Re: The #LUFC Breakfast Debate (Monday 19th October) Stats show Whites were the better side

Post by YorkshireSquare »

I thought the result was fair, but that said, they were definitely there for the taking.

Our crossing in the first half was poor, and we need to be more clinical.
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Re: The #LUFC Breakfast Debate (Monday 19th October) Stats show Whites were the better side

Post by Bon »

Morning everyone
I was pissed off yesterday as we only got a point, and still pissed off now, 2 points dropped for me.
Before the game I expected a tight game and was proved right, but I'm bitterly disappointed now, there were limited clear cut chances fron both sides but imho, we squandered the most better chances, blazing over at least four shots in the 2nd half alone.
Scum were happy with the point and all their fans who I spoke to after the game confirmed thay were, most of us were and still are.....pissed off.
Did anyone realyy expect much from the officials when they have ratboy breathing down their necks all game, I thought that was supposed to be stopped now, then again, they get away with so much it's unreal.
Scum for me will not finish in the top half playing like that, they were dreadful, for all the brass theyve spent it's pretty embarrasing, we have a great team spirit and belief, and to come from 1 down and dominate against the media darlings was fantastic to see, just a shame we don't have that Buendia type as a 10.
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Re: The #LUFC Breakfast Debate (Monday 19th October) Stats show Whites were the better side

Post by Ellandback1 »

One thing I noticed from the scum game I haven't seen for our side in a long while were a few of the dark arts. Nothing to the degree of Manchester United, who were going down like they'd been shot. I won't say that I was glad to see a little theatrics, but at-least it was a level playing field.
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