The #LUFC Breakfast Debate (Thursday 13th July) Tractor boys set for Rodon swoop

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Lufc76Cor
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Re: The #LUFC Breakfast Debate (Thursday 13th July) Tractor boys set for Rodon swoop

Post by Lufc76Cor »

The Subhuman wrote: Thu Jun 13, 2024 12:26 pm There can’t be more than 100 percent probability.
Correct, the highest probability there is 44.4%, I think you are adding them all up or doing some other kind of math, there's only one possible outcome
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Re: The #LUFC Breakfast Debate (Thursday 13th July) Tractor boys set for Rodon swoop

Post by The Subhuman »

Lufc76Cor wrote: Thu Jun 13, 2024 2:30 pm Correct, the highest probability there is 44.4%, I think you are adding them all up or doing some other kind of math, there's only one possible outcome
100% total, if one teams probability is 44% then there's only 56 % left for other teams probability. I'd imagine that's where odds setters get you,
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Re: The #LUFC Breakfast Debate (Thursday 13th July) Tractor boys set for Rodon swoop

Post by Lufc76Cor »

The Subhuman wrote: Thu Jun 13, 2024 2:44 pm 100% total, if one teams probability is 44% then there's only 56 % left for other teams probability. I'd imagine that's where odds setters get you,
The probability is based on each being a single market rather than a collective
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Re: The #LUFC Breakfast Debate (Thursday 13th July) Tractor boys set for Rodon swoop

Post by The Subhuman »

Lufc76Cor wrote: Thu Jun 13, 2024 2:49 pm The probability is based on each being a single market rather than a collective
As I say, it's how bookies corrupt the odds I guess. To my mind it just looks mathematically wrong and probably is.. I don't, never have, gambled with a bookmaker. I'll pay to play fantasy sometimes but I'm paying to play a game as you would a round of golf.. and no odds are involved
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Re: The #LUFC Breakfast Debate (Thursday 13th July) Tractor boys set for Rodon swoop

Post by BlancdeBlanc »

According to Rodon’s dad, a regular visitor (this is admittedly third hand gossip) Rodon is quite happy behind his big black gates in Collingham and enjoys drinking at Cromwell’s. Why would he give that up?
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Re: The #LUFC Breakfast Debate (Thursday 13th July) Tractor boys set for Rodon swoop

Post by 1964white »

BlancdeBlanc wrote: Thu Jun 13, 2024 4:10 pm According to Rodon’s dad, a regular visitor (this is admittedly third hand gossip) Rodon is quite happy behind his big black gates in Collingham and enjoys drinking at Cromwell’s. Why would he give that up?
So Joe still lives near Leeds.
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Re: The #LUFC Breakfast Debate (Thursday 13th July) Tractor boys set for Rodon swoop

Post by andrewjohnsmith »

DDB220 wrote: Thu Jun 13, 2024 1:20 pm Rodon links to other clubs, particularly the likes of Ipswich and Southampton is to be expected. It does not mean it is happening - just speculation I would surmise. Spurs will want to cash in on him without a doubt, which on paper means the above clubs and others in the prem have the finances to do a deal, but whether it happens is anyone’s guess.

The Archie % table is again just speculation.
The first and most important probability statistic should be the likelihood of him wanting to leave followed by the Clubs likelihood to sell. In the absence of any information concerning his suggested departure- The potential destinations mean very little at this juncture.

I would be surprised if Robert’s is at the top of the list for potential RB’s. He wasn’t even first choice when we had him on loan.
I think he would have been first choice if fully fit. There was talk a couple of days ago about a RB that both Leeds and Burnley were chasing, The fact that Burnley are linked with a RB creates more speculation about Roberts. And Leeds are the obvious link. Personally, I'd be surprised if he wasn't Burnley's first choice next season. He was in championship team of the year when they got promoted.
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Re: The #LUFC Breakfast Debate (Thursday 13th July) Tractor boys set for Rodon swoop

Post by Lufc76Cor »

The Subhuman wrote: Thu Jun 13, 2024 2:53 pm As I say, it's how bookies corrupt the odds I guess. To my mind it just looks mathematically wrong and probably is.. I don't, never have, gambled with a bookmaker. I'll pay to play fantasy sometimes but I'm paying to play a game as you would a round of golf.. and no odds are involved
A very wise and clever way to be, and yes odds are always as you say corrupt or at least enticing , whichever way you look at it it's certainly designed to make it look good in your favour but never really is
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Re: The #LUFC Breakfast Debate (Thursday 13th July) Tractor boys set for Rodon swoop

Post by DDB220 »

andrewjohnsmith wrote: Thu Jun 13, 2024 5:25 pm I think he would have been first choice if fully fit. There was talk a couple of days ago about a RB that both Leeds and Burnley were chasing, The fact that Burnley are linked with a RB creates more speculation about Roberts. And Leeds are the obvious link. Personally, I'd be surprised if he wasn't Burnley's first choice next season. He was in championship team of the year when they got promoted.
So was Spence for Forest - look what happened to him.

Roberts is a decent player - I would not be peeved if we got him back at the right price. However right now I like to think we have time to find better - Gilchrist would be a cracking signing and with an option to buy, although unlikely, even better.

Ultimately It all depends on finance - we will look to add a RB and a LB in my opinion.
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Re: The #LUFC Breakfast Debate (Thursday 13th July) Tractor boys set for Rodon swoop

Post by Leeds1000 »

I can't believe Joe would want to join Ipswich, he should have more ambition than that. Without doubt the whipping boys next season imo. Much like White did, i have no doubt he wants to join the mighty Leeds but his parent club is blocking "his clear thought path to make that happen". Oh and we may struggle to afford him? Who knows where we are in terms of finance.

Difficult to really gauge Roberts fully but my gut instinct is we will look elsewhere.
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Re: The #LUFC Breakfast Debate (Thursday 13th July) Tractor boys set for Rodon swoop

Post by Barlow Boy »

Leeds1000 wrote: Fri Jun 14, 2024 4:04 pm I can't believe Joe would want to join Ipswich he should have more ambition than that. Without doubt the whipping boys next season imo. Much like White did, i have no doubt he wants to join the mighty Leeds but his parent club is blocking "his clear thought path to make that happen". Oh and we may struggle to afford him? Who knows where we are in terms of finance.

Difficult to really gauge Roberts fully but my gut instinct is we will look elsewhere.
Me neither, he’s better than that.

I don’t expect him back with us, he’d be ok at a Fulham, Brentford or Wolves level type.
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Re: The #LUFC Breakfast Debate (Thursday 13th July) Tractor boys set for Rodon swoop

Post by Leeds1000 »

Barlow Boy wrote: Fri Jun 14, 2024 8:07 pm Me neither, he’s better than that.

I don’t expect him back with us, he’d be ok at a Fulham, Brentford or Wolves level type.
If Cresswell goes. We will be left with 3 left sided CB's. No news on Pascal, Coops will probably leave for ftf and Wober's immediate future is up in the air. Interesting weeks ahead.
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