Bournemouth v Leeds - Correct Score/First Scorer. (8pm Wed)

[Evan R]

2-3 DCL (Evan R)

[Carrick Dave]

1-0 N/A (Carrick Dave)

[Mrs64]

1-2 Calvert-Lewin (Mrs64)

[1964white]

1-1 Calvert-Lewin (64)

[leedsalex]

1-1 Tanaka (leedsalex)

[Sean_Nile]

Took the prediction of the Mot crowd and compared them to the betting on betfair, and the key gap is how goalscorers are treated.

In your Motcrowd, Brenden Aaronson or Calvert-Lewin become focal points, almost like characters in a script.

On Betfair, goalscorer markets are much flatter. Even the favorite rarely carries overwhelming probability. The motcrowd concentrates belief; the market dilutes it.

So the verdict feels like this. The motcrowd has a good instinct for the type of game, low scoring, tight, likely decided by one goal or ending level.

But it overcommits to a specific storyline, especially the away win with a familiar scorer.

Betfair would typically hedge that story, shaving down the certainty and redistributing it into a broader range of similar outcomes. A low scoring draw, or a low scoring win either way.

[Victor_OTT_17]

2-2 Okafor (Victor)

[Jaydog]

2-2 Calvert-Lewin (Jaydog)

[Onemanstanding]

1-1 Struijk (Onemanstanding)

[Barlow Boy]

2-2 Aaronsson (Barlow Boy)

Thank you

[1964white]

Bournemouth
1-0 N/A (Carrick)
1-0 N/A (Tyzy)
2-0 N/A (Hec)
2-0 N/A (fatherofnight)
2-1 Calvert-Lewin (60s)
2-1 Aaronson (marie)
2-1 Okafor (Sniffer)

Leeds United
1-2 Calvert-Lewin (Ken)
1-2 Calvert-Lewin (Mrs 64)
1-2 Calvert-Lewin (Lorimer)
2-3 Calvert-Lewin (Evan)
1-2 Tanaka (Metro)


Draw
1-1 Calvert-Lewin (Musicman)
1-1 Aaronson (Foxy)
1-1 Calvert-Lewin (Whiteinfrance)
1-1 Calvert-Lewin (64)
2-2 Calvert-Lewin (Cussie)
2-2 Calvert-Lewin (Cork)
2-2 Calvert-Lewin (Jay)
2-2 Okafor (Victor)
3-3 Okafor (White Riot)
1-1 Okafor (JIL)
1-1 Okafor (Tom)
2-2 Struijk (malcolmw)
1-1 Struijk (Onemanstanding)
1-1 Bogle (johnsie123)
1-1 Tanaka (Alex)
2-2 Aaronson (Barlow)


Predicted : Alex, Barlow, Carrick, Cork, Cussie, Evan, Father, Foxy, Hector, Jay, JIL Johnsie, Ken, Lorimer, Malcolm, Marie, Metro, Mrs 64, Musicman, Onemanstanding, Tom, Tyzy, Victor, Whiteinfrance, White Riot, 60s, 64

[SnifferClarke]

2-1 Okafor (sniffer)

[Finnatic]

2-1 Okafor (Finnatic)

Just have a feeling we’ll put 90% in and save 10% for Sunday and I can understand that

[Prisoner37]

2-2 DCL (Prisoner37)

[yorkshiremackem]

3-1 leeds aaronson 1st goal
(Ym)

[Madron]

1-3 Bijol (Madron)

[1964white]

Bournemouth
1-0 N/A (Carrick)
1-0 N/A (Tyzy)
2-0 N/A (Hec)
2-0 N/A (fatherofnight)
2-1 Calvert-Lewin (60s)
2-1 Aaronson (marie)
2-1 Okafor (Sniffer)
2-1 Okafor (Finn)


Leeds United
1-2 Calvert-Lewin (Ken)
1-2 Calvert-Lewin (Mrs 64)
1-2 Calvert-Lewin (Lorimer)
2-3 Calvert-Lewin (Evan)
1-2 Tanaka (Metro)
1-3 Aaronson (YM)
1-3 Bijol (Madron)

Draw
1-1 Calvert-Lewin (Musicman)
1-1 Aaronson (Foxy)
1-1 Calvert-Lewin (Whiteinfrance)
1-1 Calvert-Lewin (64)
2-2 Calvert-Lewin (Cussie)
2-2 Calvert-Lewin (Cork)
2-2 Calvert-Lewin (Jay)
2-2 Calvert-Lewin (Prisoner)
2-2 Okafor (Victor)
3-3 Okafor (White Riot)
1-1 Okafor (JIL)
1-1 Okafor (Tom)
2-2 Struijk (malcolmw)
1-1 Struijk (Onemanstanding)
1-1 Bogle (johnsie123)
1-1 Tanaka (Alex)
2-2 Aaronson (Barlow)


Predicted : Alex, Barlow, Carrick, Cork, Cussie, Evan, Father, Finn, Foxy, Hector, Jay, JIL Johnsie, Ken, Lorimer, Madron, Malcolm, Marie, Metro, Mrs 64, Musicman, Onemanstanding, Prisoner, Tom, Tyzy, Victor, Whiteinfrance, White Riot, YM, 60s, 64

[Pullhard]

1-1 Aaronson (Pullhard(

[rich_leeds64]

2-2 Okafor (rich64)

[St.Anningley]

2-2 Calvert-Lewin (St.Anningley)