Leeds Utd 2-2 Brighton - Post Match Debate

[Ackermann]

I’d accept 4 hard fought draws

If the odds us winning every 4 of those games was 85% our chance of beating all 4 would be 52%.
That`s the harsh reality.

[Ackermann]

19th now with Soton and Wet Spam both playing tomorrow, we could well be bottom by the end of tomorrow. A draw would have been an acceptable result had Bournemouth and Everton not won but now it’s 2 points dropped rather than 1 gained. After this performance, where Brighton showed they were so much the better team, even with 12 games left I can’t see us escaping relegation. (Thats being pessimistic by the way faaip not hating, two words with completely different meanings which cannot be interchanged)!

Very realistic in my eyes.

[Cjay]

It's a good point with our record vs Brighton and if this was August.

But in our position with teams around us getting unexpected wins with games running out it's not

There was good in there today

But a lot of bad to and Brighton down there left should have done better on many occasions.

We rave about the Gnonto deal

But the Mitoma one is even better

Absolutely quality

[Ackermann]

Of course we won't win all 4 lol. I'd be surprised if we get more than 2 wins.

So which gamrs will we win besides 2 of the 4 mentioned. Because 2 wins won`t keep us up.

[Ackermann]

It's a good point with our record vs Brighton and if this was August.

But in our position with teams around us getting unexpected wins with games running out it's not

There was good in there today

But a lot of bad to and Brighton down there left should have done better on many occasions.

We rave about the Gnonto deal

But the Mitoma one is even better

Absolutely quality

You`re point being we lost 2 points we can`t afford to lose given the current situation we are in?

[SG90]

So which gamrs will we win besides 2 of the 4 mentioned. Because 2 wins won`t keep us up.

I don't believe we will stay up. As for the two wins, I'll go for Leicester and Palace.

[Jaydog]

If the odds us winning every 4 of those games was 85% our chance of beating all 4 would be 52%.
That`s the harsh reality.

Ex bookie?

[Ackermann]

Ex bookie?

No, just interesting because it gives a different perspective. (Easy maths: if you have 4 game with a certain probability you multiply the probabilities of the 4 games.)

[Jaydog]

No, just interesting because it gives a different perspective. (Easy maths: if you have 4 game with a certain probability you multiply the probabilities of the 4 games.)

Yeah
Used to be my job back in the day

[Cjay]

You`re point being we lost 2 points we can`t afford to lose given the current situation we are in?

Basically yeah.

If earlier in the season or had others around us lost its a good point.

But Everton and Bournemouth winning against equally tough opposition makes it less

[Ackermann]

I don't believe we will stay up. As for the two wins, I'll go for Leicester and Palace.

Fair enough. Must agree that I don`t see us staying up either.

[Ackermann]

Basically yeah.

If earlier in the season or had others around us lost its a good point.

But Everton and Bournemouth winning against equally tough opposition makes it less

Having to rely heavily on other teams not winning is a certain sign of big trouble when you can` t
win games yourself.

[Jaydog]

Gutted though
At 25 points we’d be 15th and in a good position, only 1 point behind Forest & 2 behind Palace & Wolves.
Still tight down there mind

[Cjay]

Having to rely heavily on other teams not winning is a certain sign of big trouble when you can` t
win games yourself.

We aren't going to draw our way to safety.

We will need to beat atleast one of the top 10

Can we?

Not sure

[Jaydog]

Still think Palace are in the shite.
Hope Citeh batter them

[SG90]

We aren't going to draw our way to safety.

We will need to beat atleast one of the top 10

Can we?

Not sure

Maybe the Scousers if they had an off day. But now we've changed our style of play, I can't see us getting results against them.

[JoeDenver]

A point is better than nothing against a team in very good form.

Agree with this. I think Brighton had slightly more chances today (curious what the xG was), but I thought we looked more dangerous in attack than we have in some time. Rodrigo looks rusty so can’t fault him too much. But with a decent game from Patty and Harrison, there are some encouraging signs. It’s probably maddening to decide which version of Summerville, Gnonto, Bamford, and Harrison is going to show up, but I think we got it about right. Save for Ayling’s defensive struggles, Harrison’s own goal, and perhaps Roca’s radio silence, I think the rest of the team was fairly solid. Based on this, I think we can salvage a point or perhaps three from the in-form Wolves. My glass half full outlook…

[BGwhite]

Not a good point, even if we came from behind twice. Everyone around us, except Leicester, are winning games. Can't see us winning at Wolves.

Not a good point at all. Home games need to be won here on in. Forget any points away, we really aren't that good to be thinking we'll get any. Everton will stay up again only due to picking up wins at home, same as last season.


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[Jaydog]

XG 0.68 x 1.84
For the metric types it’s a fortunate point

[SG90]

Not a good point at all. Home games need to be won here on in. Forget any points away, we really aren't that good to be thinking we'll get any. Everton will stay up again only due to picking up wins at home, same as last season.


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Yep. 3 wins under Dyche now. s**t football, but it's what you need to do.